Is the US already in recession? Probably not. But in the first quarter, real GDP is very likely to have a minus sign in front of it. Yes, a negative reading
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We have called inflation “political kryptonite” because it is so damaging to politicians. Clearly, inflation played a role in the 2024 election. So now that
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The Framers of the Constitution designed our government to be small. Not so small and weak as the one under the Articles of Confederation, which the
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The federal government gets a great deal of grief when it issues economic reports and it’s not hard to see why. The last several years include lots of reasons
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The Federal Reserve made it clear on Wednesday that it’s not about to cut short-term interest rates again anytime soon, which is good news if you’d like to see
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As economists and financial market forecasters, we are constantly amazed at how so many people analyze, forecast, research, and discuss important topics without
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If you’re going to remember one important fact about the housing market, it’s that with the brief exception of COVID, the US has consistently built too few
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The College Football playoffs included 12 teams this year and all five automatic berth teams (because they won their conference championships) are now out
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